Identifying HIV patients with an unfavorable cardiovascular risk profile in the clinical practice: Results from the SIMONE study

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Summary

Objective

To identify and characterize HIV-infected patients at higher cardiovascular risk in ordinary clinical settings.

Design

Multicenter, nationwide cross-sectional study.

Methods

Consecutive HIV-patients, attending scheduled visits at facilities involved in the Italian coordination group for the study of allergies and HIV infection (CISAI), were included between February and April, 2005. Their 10-year probability of acute coronary events was calculated using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) as well as 3 other cardiovascular algorithms (“PROCAM”, “PROGETTO CUORE”, “SCORE”); Metabolic Syndrome (MS) was diagnosed according to the National Cholesterol Education Program definitions. An estimated 10-year CVD ≥10% and/or MS led to the diagnosis of high CV risk. We compared selected clinical features between high- and low-risk patients.

Results

A total of 1230 HIV infected patients (72% males, mean age of 43 ± 9 years), 185 of whom treatment-naïve, were evaluated. FRS gave the highest estimate of CV risk. The mean 10-year risk for acute coronary events according to FRS was 7.4 ± 7.0. MS was present in 22% of the observed patients. Accordingly, 443 patients (36%) were classified at high risk. Twelve percent of the patients (n = 142) had both a FRS ≥10% and a diagnosis of MS. The main single predictor of increased cardiovascular risk was smoking (60% of whole sample). A higher prevalence of clinically evident lipodystrophy and a higher CD4 T-cell counts were found both in patients with higher FRS and in patients with high FRS and MS (both p < 0.001).

Conclusions

The worst estimation of CV risk was obtained with the FRS algorithm. Clinical evidence of lipodystrophy and higher CD4 T-cell counts were closely associated to a worse cardiovascular risk profile.

Introduction

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD), a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the general population, is of an increasing concern also for HIV-infected patients. Although a high level of cardiovascular morbidity was reported for HIV infected patients in the pre-CART (Combination AntiRetroviral Therapy) era,1 this issue became even more relevant since CART extended their life span.2, 3 Accordingly, estimates of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk are now felt as a valuable tool for clinical practice. The Framingham risk score (FRS) provides an estimate of CVD risk validated in the general North American population4, 5, 6 and is widely considered as a reference method.7 Furthermore, an increased prevalence of Metabolic Syndrome (MS) has been reported in HIV infected patients.8, 9, 10 The main pathogenic mechanism associated with MS in HIV patients is reckoned to be CART induced insulin-resistance,11 and its frequent identification in patients on CART has brought the issue to the forefront. The diagnosis of MS may help identifying HIV patients at high risk of developing both type 2 diabetes and CVD.12, 13 The SIMONE (SIndrome Metabolica ONE) study was accordingly designed to get a cross-sectional estimate of both prevalence and characteristics of MS in an unselected population of Italian HIV infected patients, employing the National Education Cholesterol Program (NCEP) criteria,14 and to evaluate the global probability for CVD in these patients.

Although the estimation of CHD risk might prove useful both to establish the relative contribution of different risk factors and for clinical management in HIV patients, estimates of CHD risk from long term observational studies are still scanty in these settings,15, 16 and estimates of CVD using algorithms other than FRS are lacking.17, 18

In this study, we performed a cross-sectional, comparative evaluation of CHD risks using the FRS,5 the PROCAM score,19 the Italian “Progetto CUORE” algorithm20 and the SCORE algorithm,21 using data collected for the SIMONE study. We aimed to identify an easy-to-use procedure to screen HIV infected patients at higher cardiovascular (CV) risk in ordinary clinical settings, possibly incorporating data on MS prevalence.

Section snippets

Patients and study design

The SIMONE study design has been described elsewhere.22 Briefly, it was a cross-sectional survey started in February and completed in April, 2005. It was conducted by the CISAI group (Coordinamento Italiano per lo Studio Allergia e Infezione da HIV – Italian coordination group for the study of allergies and HIV infection). Within this period, all patients attending scheduled or unscheduled visits at hospitals participating the CISAI group were eligible. Using a standard data collection form,

Results

A total of 1243 HIV infected patients were enrolled. Five men aged more than 75 and 8 patients with missing variables for MS diagnosis or FRS calculation were excluded. Analyses were performed on 1230 subjects (71.5% males), including 185 (15.1%) treatment-naïve subjects. Patients' mean age was 43.0 ± 8.8 years. Table 2 sets out their main characteristics and the results of 10-year estimated cardiovascular risk, applying the 4 different mentioned algorithms. The prevalence of patients with

Discussion

The SIMONE study reported on a large multicentric, unselected population of Italian HIV-infected patients, mostly on CART, observed in routine clinical care, assessed for the prevalence of MS.22 In the present study, we compared 4 different algorithmic estimates of CVD risks from data collected from the same patients, and combined data from such estimates with the diagnosis of MS to look for factors associated with high CV risk. Smoking provided a major independent contribution to increased CHD

Conflict of interest

The authors have no conflict of interest.

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